We Publish Before the Vote. We Compare After the Count.
Every Prediction Has a Date. Every Result Has a Record.
An election prediction matters most when people can examine what was forecast before voting and compare it with what actually happened.
Since 2024, Moris Poll Pulse has developed political research covering parliamentary elections, state assemblies, presidential contests and international elections.
Our prediction archive brings together published opinion polls, voter research, projected vote shares, seat estimates, election dates and post-election comparisons.
Explore what we predicted, when we published it and how the final results compared.
Forecasts that matter to readers in {city}.
Election research from 2024 to {year}, covering {state}, {country} and international contests.
A Forecast Should Remain Open to Examination.
Predictions Are Published. Accuracy Is Measured.
Political preferences can change throughout an election campaign. Public concerns, leadership perceptions, party alliances, local developments and voter participation can all influence electoral outcomes.
Moris Poll Pulse studies these factors through election-related surveys, public opinion research and analysis of relevant political information.
Where the available research supports an estimate, we publish projections of voting preferences, party performance, parliamentary seats or electoral outcomes.
Each prediction should identify its original publication date and the research period on which it was based.
After the election, the forecast can be compared with official results.
A prediction that differs from the final outcome remains part of the archive, just as an accurate prediction does.
Our purpose is to make election research measurable, accessible and accountable.
More Than a Winner's Name.
The Details Matter as Much as the Headline.
Pre-Election Opinion Polls
Research measuring voter preferences and political attitudes before voting begins.
Parliamentary Seat Predictions
Estimates of how political preferences may translate into seats within a national parliament.
State Assembly Predictions
Research-based projections covering state or regional legislative elections.
Presidential Election Forecasts
Estimates relating to presidential contests, including relevant voting preferences and electoral outcomes.
Party Vote-Share Estimates
Projected percentages of votes for parties or candidates within a defined electorate.
Constituency-Level Predictions
Research examining electoral preferences and potential outcomes within individual constituencies.
Coalition & Majority Estimates
Analysis of projected seat distributions and the possible implications for government formation.
Voter Turnout Predictions
Estimates of electoral participation based on the available research and stated assumptions.
Election Tracking Updates
Updated research examining changes in voter preferences during an election period.
Post-Election Accuracy Reports
Comparisons of published forecasts with actual election results, including exact matches and numerical differences.
Know What Was Forecast. Know What Happened.
A Clear Comparison Needs Clear Numbers.
Original Publication Date
The date on which the forecast was first made publicly available.
Election Date
The scheduled or actual voting date relevant to the prediction.
Research Period
The dates during which the underlying research was conducted.
Survey Sample
The number of eligible respondents included in the reported survey.
Research Method
The collection methods used, such as online surveys, telephone interviews or in-person interviews.
Predicted Outcome
The published estimates of votes, seats, turnout or other relevant election measures.
Actual Election Result
The officially declared result, added after the election is completed.
Prediction Comparison
A direct comparison of predicted and actual figures, with the differences clearly displayed.
Research Limitations
Information about sample design, uncertainty and other factors that may affect interpretation.
A forecast is an estimate, not an official result or a guaranteed outcome.
Every Election. Every Published Forecast. One Archive.
The Original Prediction Stays on Record.
Explore Moris Poll Pulse's published election research and prediction history from 2024 onwards. Visitors can search for a country, state, election, political party or publication year. Each prediction opens its own record with original findings, research methodology, publication timeline and actual results where available.
Our Election Research Since 2024.
Browse the Research by Election Year.
The Forecast Beside the Final Result.
See the Difference. Understand the Outcome.
Party-wise seats: prediction vs result
Accuracy reporting identifies the metric used rather than presenting a single unsupported percentage. Comparisons include the number of exact seat predictions, total absolute seat differences, average seat error, vote-share differences and correct or incorrect leading-party projections.
Explore the Original Research.
Read the Forecast Before Reading the Result.
State and UT Prediction Archive
Every state and UT election we forecast, beside its certified result.
Lok Sabha 2024 for all 36 states and UTs, and every Assembly election since 2024. Each card shows the largest party we predicted against the actual result; open the state for the full table.
The Record Matters More Than the Claim.
Original Dates. Visible Corrections. Measurable Differences.
Moris Poll Pulse aims to preserve the original publication record of its election predictions.
When new information becomes available, subsequent research updates should be published as separate dated versions.
The original forecast should remain accessible.
After official results are declared, comparisons should use the original published figures rather than replacing them with the final outcome.
Where corrections are necessary, they should be identified with the correction date and explanation.
This allows readers to distinguish the original prediction, later research updates and the completed election result.
Understanding Our Election Predictions
What is an election prediction?
An election prediction is an estimate of a possible electoral outcome based on available research, polling data and stated assumptions. It is not an official result.
What is the difference between an opinion poll and an exit poll?
An opinion poll measures preferences before voting. An exit poll collects responses from people who have already voted, usually immediately after they cast their ballots.
When does Moris Poll Pulse publish predictions?
Publication timing depends on the election, research schedule and applicable local rules. Each forecast displays its original publication date.
Are all predictions guaranteed to be accurate?
No. Elections involve uncertainty, and voter preferences or turnout can change. Published forecasts should be assessed against their methodology and subsequent results.
Can I view predictions from previous years?
Yes. The archive preserves published election research from 2024 onwards, with older records added only when the original publication evidence is available.
How is prediction accuracy measured?
Accuracy depends on the measure being compared. Seat projections, vote-share estimates, turnout predictions and leading-party forecasts require different evaluation methods.
Every Prediction Deserves a Second Look.
Before the Ballot. After the Result.
Explore published election forecasts, examine the research behind them and compare original predictions with actual outcomes.
Now planning {year} studies for organisations in {country}.
MORIS POLL PULSE | Published Election Research & Prediction History Since 2024